面向“23·7”华北特大暴雨过程的降水类型分析
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作者单位:

1.中山大学土木工程学院;2.中山大学大气科学学院

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中图分类号:

P339

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目(面上项目,重点项目,重大项目)


Analysis on the Precipitation Categories for the "23·7" Heavy Rainfall in North China
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1.School of Civil Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University;2.School of Atmospheric Sciences

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    摘要:

    为了理解不同天气系统对降水的影响机制,利用ERA5再分析资料和全球大气河数据集,结合天气系统客观识别方法和降水归因方法,分析了“23·7”华北特大暴雨过程的环流背景、水汽输送特征和降水类型演变特征,量化气旋、锋面和大气河三种天气系统及其组合对降水的贡献。结果表明:双台风“杜苏芮”和“卡努”以及高压坝的协同作用为此次暴雨过程提供了充沛的水汽输送,大气不稳定条件为对流提供了有利环境。在华北暴雨前期,“杜苏芮”残涡临近京津冀地区,降水主要与气旋以及大气河有关;在华北暴雨中后期,受双台风水汽输送和大气不稳定能量增强的影响,降水主要与锋面以及大气河有关。大气河与锋面共同出现以及仅锋面出现这两种天气类型对京津冀地区暴雨过程的贡献分别为43.2%和36.0%。

    Abstract:

    Weather features contribute substantially to precipitation, while the physical mechanisms underlying these impacts remain unclear. Based on ERA5 reanalysis data and the Global Atmospheric Rivers Database, this paper analyzes the atmospheric circulation, water vapor transport and precipitation categories of the “23·7” heavy rainfall event by utilizing objective detection and precipitation attribution methods. The contributions of cyclones, fronts, atmospheric rivers and their combinations to precipitation are quantified. The results show that Typhoon Doksuri, Typhoon Khanun and the high-pressure barrier provide abundant water vapor to North China and unstable atmospheric conditions are favorable to convection. In the early stage, precipitation in North China is mainly influenced by cyclones and atmospheric rivers due to the stagnation of Typhoon Doksuri residual vortex. In the late stage, precipitation is primarily associated with fronts and atmospheric rivers. The contributions of atmospheric rivers combined with fronts and fronts only to heavy rainfall in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are 43.2% and 36.0%, respectively.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-11
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-16
  • 录用日期:2025-02-18
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