苏南山丘区典型实验小流域产汇流研究
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江苏省水文水资源勘测局无锡分局

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P333;TV124

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A Study on the Runoff and Confluence of Typical Experimental Small Watersheds in the Hilly Areas of Southern Jiangsu
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Hydrology and Water Resources Survey Bureau of Jiangsu Province Wuxi Branch,Wuxi

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    摘要:

    《江苏省暴雨洪水图集》(以下简称《84图集》)是江苏省水文工作的重要参考文件,被广泛应用于防洪规划、径流预报等工作。然而,在气候变化和人类活动影响下,《84图集》已无法满足现状条件下的流域产汇流预报需求。为修订《84图集》中苏南山丘区的产汇流参数,论文以典型实验小流域——大港河上游流域(楚山桥)为研究对象,通过分析场次洪水资料,研究流域产汇流特性,建立优化参数的流域产流计算方案,并设置不同的汇流参数优化方案,通过2020—2023年洪水资料进行对比研究,结果表明:(1)优化参数后的产流计算方案2021年和2023年洪水径流深误差均在25%以内,平均径流深误差为12.3%,产流计算精度达甲级。(2)优化参数后的汇流计算方案较原始《84图集》方法的汇流计算精度均有不同程度的提升。其中,同时优化瞬时单位线两个参数的方案精度最高,平均纳什效率系数为0.73、洪峰误差合格率为62%,汇流预报精度达丙级。由此可见,参数优化可有效地提高产汇流计算精度。研究成果不仅可为江苏省的《84图集》修订提供借鉴,同时也对山丘区小流域的产汇流规律研究具有指导意义。

    Abstract:

    As an important reference for hydrological work in Jiangsu Province, "84 Atlas" has been widely used in flood control planning and runoff forecasting. However, under the influence of climate change and human activities, "84 Atlas" can no longer meet the social needs under the current conditions. In order to revise the parameters for hilly area of southern Jiangsu in "84 Atlas", this article took the upper basin (Chushanqiao) of Dagang River basin, a typical experimental small watershed, as the study area and conducted a study on runoff generation and concentration regular patterns based on the flood events information. A calculation scheme of runoff generation with optimized parameter was built and different schemes of parameters optimization in runoff concentration was set. The results of flood data from 2020 to 2023 indicated: (1)After parameter optimization, the error of flood runoff depth in 2021 and 2023 is within 25%, the average error of runoff depth is 12.3%, and the calculation accuracy of runoff generation reaches the Grade A standard. (2) The calculation accuracy of concentration has been improved to varying degrees in parameter schemes comparing with the original method in "84 Atlas". The parameter scheme which simultaneously optimize two parameters of instantaneous unit hydrograph has the highest accuracy with an average Nash efficiency coefficient of 0.7 in 2021 and 2023, and qualification rate of flood peak error is 62%. The accuracy of flow concentration reaches the Class C standard. It is concluded that the method of "84 Atlas" with parameter optimization can effectively improve the accuracy of runoff generation and concentration. The results not only provide reference for the revision of the "84 Atlas" in Jiangsu Province, but also have guiding significance for the study of runoff generation and concentration of small watersheds in hilly areas.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-02-04
  • 最后修改日期:2024-07-18
  • 录用日期:2024-07-22
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