系统微分响应修正在SWAT模型径流模拟的应用
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1.河海大学水文水资源学院;2.水利部南京水利水文自动化研究所;3.江苏省水利厅;4.宁波市水利水电规划设计研究院有限公司;5.浙江省台州市长潭水库事务中心;6.绍兴市汤浦水库有限公司

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TV121

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江西省“科技+水利”联合计划项目(2022KSG01006)


Application of system differential response correction in SWAT model runoff simulation
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1.College of Hydrology and Water Resources,Hohai University;2.Nanjing Automation Institute of Water Conservancy and Hydrology,Ministry of Water Resources;3.Water Resources Department of Jiangsu Province,Nanjing;4.Ningbo Water Resources and Hydropower Planning and Design Institute Co,LTD,Ningbo;5.Changtan Reservoir Affairs Center,Taizhou;6.Shaoxing Tangpu Reservoir Co,Ltd

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    摘要:

    径流的模拟与预报对于流域水资源可持续开发利用至关重要。但是,由于模型输入、参数、结构等存在误差,模型模拟的径流也存在误差,需要对其进行修正。系统微分响应修正通过建立因变量与自变量之间的系统响应函数对自变量进行修正,从而实现对因变量的修正。本文将系统微分响应修正方法引入SWAT模型中,通过构建降水和径流的响应矩阵,以径流误差反演降水误差从而实现降水误差的修正,并通过模型计算来修正径流。首先构建理想模型验证方法的有效性,之后选取建阳流域作为研究区域,构建SWAT模型进行日径流模拟与修正,采用多个评价指标对比分析系统微分响应修正的径流过程和AR模型修正的径流过程。研究结果表明,系统微分响应能够准确提取降水误差信息并通过修正降水来实现径流序列的修正,并且系统微分响应用在流域内的径流修正效果优于自回归模型,修正后多年平均NSE提升了24%,可以用于SWAT模型的径流修正。

    Abstract:

    The simulation and prediction of runoff are crucial for the sustainable development and utilization of water resources in basins. However, due to errors in model inputs, parameters, and structure, there are also errors in the simulated runoff that need to be corrected. System differential response correction achieves the correction of the dependent variable by establishing a system response function between the dependent variable and the independent variable. This study introduces the system differential response correction method into the SWAT model. By constructing response matrices for precipitation and runoff, it corrects precipitation errors by inversing runoff errors, and then corrects runoff through model calculations. Firstly, the effectiveness of the ideal model validation method is established. Then, the Jianyang basin is selected as the study area, and the SWAT model is used to simulate and correct daily runoff. Multiple evaluation indicators are used to compare and analyze the runoff processes corrected by the system differential response correction and the autoregressive model. The research results show that the system differential response can accurately extract precipitation error information and achieve the correction of runoff sequences by correcting precipitation, and the system differential response correction for runoff in the basins is more effective than the autoregressive modeling. The multi-year average NSE increased by 24% make it suitable for runoff correction in the SWAT model.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-10-03
  • 最后修改日期:2024-05-29
  • 录用日期:2024-06-07
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