蒙阴流域日径流模拟多模型比较研究
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作者单位:

1.河海大学 水文水资源学院;2.山东省水文中心;3.山东省水利综合事业服务中心

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中图分类号:

P338; TV122

基金项目:

水利部重大科技项目(SKR-2022032);国家自然科学基金面上项目(52379007);小型水库雨水工情自动测报和水库安全运行及防洪调度项目(SDGP370000000202202001161)


Comparative Study on Multiple Hydrological Models in Daily Runoff Simulation of Mengyin Watershed
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Shandong Hydrology Center;2.Shandong Comprehensive Water Resources Service Center;3.College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University

Fund Project:

Major Science and Technology Projects of the Ministry of Water Resources (SKR-2022032);National Natural Science Foundation of China(General Program)(52379007);Small Reservoirs Automated Rainwater and Labor Condition Measurement and Reservoir Safe Operation and Flood Control Dispatch Project(SDGP370000000202202001161)

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    摘要:

    选择MARRMoT建模工具箱中16个集总式水文模型对湿润半湿润的蒙阴流域进行日径流模拟,对比分析不同模型在该流域的适用性。使用Nelder-Mead单纯形搜索法确定模型参数,选取确定性系数、Kling-Gupta效率系数和洪量相对误差指标评定模型精度;根据模拟精度对模型适用性进行排序,综合考虑模型结构和参数个数,对模拟精度的影响因素进行分析。结果表明,新安江模型和GR4J模型的精度最优,SMAR和HBV模型次之;模型结构是影响模拟精度的重要因素,模型参数个数影响不大,复杂的模型并不意味着更好的模拟结果。研究可为湿润半湿润流域水文模型的选择及应用提供参考。

    Abstract:

    Sixteen lumped hydrological models in Modular Assessment of Rainfall–Runoff Models Toolbox (MARRMoT) were applied to the daily runoff simulation in the humid and semi-humid Mengyin Watershed. Further analyses were conducted on the daily runoff simulation results to compare the applicability of these models. The Nelder-Mead simplex search method was used to determine the parameters of all models. The coefficient of determination, Kling-Gupta efficiency coefficient, and relative error of flood volume were selected to evaluate the simulation accuracy of different models, and the applicability of models is sorted by simulation accuracy. The model structure and number of parameters were comprehensively considered to analyze the factors affecting simulation accuracy. The results show that the Xinanjiang and GR4J models have the best accuracy, followed by the SAMR model and HBV model. The model structure is an important factor affecting the simulation accuracy, and the number of model parameters has little effect. Complex models may not yield better simulation results necessarily. This study can serve as a reference for the selection and application of hydrological models in humid and semi-humid regions.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-08-08
  • 最后修改日期:2024-02-29
  • 录用日期:2024-03-13
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