能量平衡融雪模型在乌鲁木齐河源区的应用
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李建梅(1991-),女,新疆昌吉人,硕士研究生,专业方向为水文及水资源。 E-mail:120197697@qq.com

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P338;P333

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国家自然科学基金项目(51569027;41371419);


Application of Energy Balance Snowmelt Model in Riverhead of Urumqi River
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    摘要:

    山区融雪是内陆河流域重要的径流补给来源,融雪径流模拟是干旱区水文预报的研究热点。针对山区积雪消融的不确定性过程,根据能量平衡原理,以乌鲁木齐河源区融雪性洪水多发期为研究时段(2010年3月14日4月12日),结合MODIS积雪产品和气象观测数据,采用GIS空间分析平台,阐述了融雪过程中能量平衡各收支通量变化的计算过程,并分析了融雪水量空间分布特征。模拟计算结果表明:乌鲁木齐河源区显热通量和潜热通量的日空间变化波动相似,但方向相反;日融雪量数值波动不大,但日融雪量空间分布不均,日平均融雪水量约为8.6 kg/m2;融雪产流模拟结果和同期出山口水文站监测结果相吻合,Nash-Sutcliffe系数(R2)和径流体积差分析(Dv)分别为0.76和6.72%,满足精度要求。该研究结果对干旱区内陆河流域融雪型洪水预报具有参考意义。

    Abstract:

    Snowmelt runoff is the important resources for the inland river basin. It has gradually become a hot issue to simulate snowmelt runoff for hydrological forecasting. In order to describe the uncertainty of snowmelt process in the period of high incidence, the fluxes change of energy balance in the river head of the Urumqi River (from March 14 to April 12, 2010) were calculated using GIS platform based on the energy balance method, MODIS and meteorological data. The spatial distribution of snowmelt water was also analyzed. The results show that there are similar spatial variabilities between the daily sensible heat flux and the daily latent heat flux in the river head of the Urumqi River, but their trends of change are opposite. Although the amount of snowmelt is stable, its spatial distribution is uneven. The amount of average daily snowmelt water is about 8.6 kg/m2 . The simulation is good agreement with the observation data. The coefficient of Nash-Sutcliffe(R2 )and the volume difference(Dv) is 0.76 and 6.72%, respectively. This research could give administration department some help for hydrological forecasting.

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  • 收稿日期:2016-02-18
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-06-22
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