漳河流域近60年径流变化分析
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高云明 (1962-), 男, 河北迁安人, 教授级高工, 主要从事水文水资源工作。 E-mail: gaoyunming@126.com

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P333.1

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国家自然科学基金项目(41330854;41371063);水利部公益性行业科研专项经费项目(201201091);


Variation of Annual Runoff in Zhanghe River Basin in Recent 60 Years
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    摘要:

    近年来,漳河流域径流量显著减少,严重影响流域内水资源的开发与利用。采用多种数理统计方法,分析了径流量的演变特征。结果表明:漳河流域年径流量呈显著性减少趋势,其中下游减少的趋势更加显著;20世纪80年代以前年径流量高于多年平均值,80年代以后低于多年平均值,且不同年代变幅较大;漳河流域实测径流量在20世纪70年代中后期出现变异点,变异点之后年径流量比变异点之前明显偏小。径流量系列存在67a的准周期。

    Abstract:

    : In recent years, annual runoff in the Zhanghe River Basin has been significantly decreased, which is effecting on the w ater resources management and sustainable utilization. The variation characteristics of the annual runoff in the Zhanghe River Basin were analyzed by using the various statistical methods. The results show that there presents a decrease trend of the annual runoff in the basin, and there is a more obvious decrease trend in the lower and middle reaches; The annual runoff before 1980s is higher than the mean annual runoff during 1960-2013 and that after 1980s is much lower. The abrupt change points of the annual runoff series have been detected occurring in the late 1970s. And there is a quasi-period of 6-7 years in the annual runoff series.

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  • 收稿日期:2015-07-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2022-06-22
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