基于集对分析的相似模型在地下水位预测中的应用
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

徐源蔚(1991-),女,四川成都人,硕士研究生,主要从事的研究方向为环境质量评价.环境系统分析等。E-mail:454250429@qq.com

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

P641.7

基金项目:

国家自然科学基金项目资助(51179110,51209024);


Similar Forecast Modes of Underground Water Level Based on Set Pair Analysis
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    地下水位预测能为生态环境保护和地下水资源规划、管理提供科学依据。为了对地下水位动态变化进行准确预测,针对地下水位样本之间的相似性及影响因子与地下水位之间具有的确定、不确定性特征,提出将集对分析与相似预测相结合,从同、异、反三方面定量刻画地下水位的当前样本与历史样本之间的相似性,建立了基于集对分析的地下水位相似预测模型,并应用该模型计算地下水位预测值。实例检验结果表明:基于集对分析的地下水位相似预测模型的平均相对误差小于3%。与其他地下水位预测方法相比,该方法用于地下水位预测具有物理概念清晰,计算简便,预测精度较高的特点。

    Abstract:

    The forecast of underground water level can provide scientific basis for the ecological environmentalprotection,planning and management of underground water resources.According to the similarity between thesamples of underground water level and the characteristics of regularity as well as the both certain and uncer-tain between the impact factors and underground water level,this study set up the similar forecast models ofunderground water level based on set pair analysis,which describe quantitatively the similarity among the his-torical samples of forecast object from the views of identical,discrepancy and contrary sides,combining set pairanalysis with the similar forecast. Further,the predictive values of underground water level can be calculated bythe model. The empirical results suggested that average relative error of the similar forecast models of under-ground water level based on set pair analysis was less than 3%.Compared with other underground watet level prediction methods,this model has the characteristics of clear physical concepts,simple computation and higherprediction accuracy.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2014-11-03
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-06-21
  • 出版日期: