乌梁素海富营养化主控因子年季变化分析及综合评价
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X824

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国家自然科学基金资助项目(50269001,50169002)


Study and Synthetic Assessment for the Season-year Change of the Eutrophication Main-control Factors in Wuliangsuhai Lake
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    摘要:

    运用均匀随机数以等级评价标准产生建模样本和验证样本,利用实数编码的加速遗传算法(RAGA)求解逻辑斯缔曲线(Logistic Curve)水环境评价模型中的参数,建立了富营养化等级评价模型,据此计算了乌梁素海1996∽2003年夏初、仲夏、秋末3个时点的富营养化等级,分析了乌梁素海富营养化主控因子及其等级的年季动态变化特征和它们之间的影响关系。结果表明:1996∽2003年乌梁素海各富营养化主控因子均变化在4级富营养化指标左右,除总磷波动性较大以外,其他各项指标均呈逐年恶化趋势;而综合富营养化等级均超过4级,且呈逐年增加趋势,目前已十分接近5级——极富营养化状态。

    Abstract:

    The assessment model of eutrophication has been established by used of Accelerating Genetic Algorithm and Logistic Curve in this paper. According to the model, the eutrophication levels of the different season from 1996 to 2003 in Wuliangsuhai Lake have been concluded. Based on the level, the season-year changes of the eutrophication main-control factors in Wuliangsuhai Lake have been analyzed. The result shows that all the main-control factors of eutrophication remain forth level and except that the total phosphorus has great fluctuation, the others are rising by and by from 1996 to 2003. The whole levels of the water quality have beyond the forth level and close to the fifth level.

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