贵州省地下水资源量预测方法研究
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昆明理工大学

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P33

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昆明理工大学省级人才培养基金


Research on the prediction method of underground water resources in Guizhou Province
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kunming university of science and technology

Fund Project:

Provincial Talent Cultivation Fund of Kunming University of Science and Technology

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    摘要:

    地下水是最珍贵的自然资源之一,其在人类活动的影响下,开采和利用的规模逐年扩大。因此,地下水资源对于人类社会的可持续发展具有重大意义。对地下水资源量进行科学预测,建立合理可行的地下水资源管理制度,以达到开发与保护并重的目的。目前预测地下水资源量的方法有多种,传统方法有神经网络、数学模型等,而时间序列分析方法与传统方法的结合,衍生出新型的预测模型使得计算的结果更适用于工程实践,以贵州省为例,采用三种方法对研究区域进行地下水资源量预测,基于预测结果可得:LSTM模型方法在该研究区域地下水资源量预测方面表现出更高的精度和适用性,可对该区域的地下水资源规划及开发利用提供一定的参考。

    Abstract:

    Groundwater is one of the most precious natural resources, and its exploitation and utilization are expanding year by year under the influence of human activities. Groundwater resources are therefore of great significance to the sustainable development of human society. Scientific prediction of the amount of groundwater resources and the establishment of a reasonable and feasible groundwater resource management system can achieve the purpose of development and protection at the same time. At present, there are various methods to predict the amount of groundwater resources, the traditional methods are neural networks, mathematical models, etc., and the combination of time series analysis methods and traditional methods derive a new type of prediction model that makes the calculation results more suitable for engineering practice, taking Guizhou Province as an example, three methods are used to predict the amount of groundwater resources of the study area, and based on the results of the prediction, it can be obtained that: LSTM modeling method in the study area Based on the prediction results, it can be concluded that the LSTM modeling method shows higher accuracy and applicability in the prediction of underground water resources in the study area, which can provide a certain reference for the planning, development and utilization of underground water resources in the region.

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  • 收稿日期:2023-08-03
  • 最后修改日期:2024-01-25
  • 录用日期:2024-01-29
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