水箱模型在大尺度流域实时洪水预报模型研制中的应用
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P338.9

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国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)


Application of Tank Model in Developing Real Time Flood Forecasting Model for Large Scale Basins
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    摘要:

    水箱模型用于实时洪水作业预报的具体成果尚不多,本文研究的目的在于将水箱模型用于大尺度流域实时洪水预报。本文介绍了应用水箱模型建立实时洪水预报模型的方法。按照河段流量传播时间将寸滩以上干、支流划分为若干子河段,各子河段按照计算时段长分成若干单元河段,各单元河段区间降雨径流预报采用水箱模型.河道流量演算采用连续马斯京根法。河系预报模型精度在85%以上,能够满足实时洪水预报的要求。

    Abstract:

    There are only a few results from application of Tank model real time flood forecasting. The purpose of this research is to apply tank model in real time flood forecasting for large scale basins. This paper introduced the method of developing flood forecasting model for river system with tank model. The Main stream and tributaries above Cuntan Station were separated into many reaches according to the spread time of flow, and every reach is separated into many unit reaches. Runoff of every unit reach was computed with tank model, and flow of stream was computed with continuous Muskingum. The precision of the river system flood forecasting model is above 85%, and the result satisfies real time flood forecasting.

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  • 最后修改日期:2005-10-08
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